National authorities "Thirteen Five" multiple energy index is expected to recent research, whether the adjustment "Thirteen Five" wind, light and non-fossil energy index, become an important focus.
"Wind" and "light" infinite happy.
With Thirteen Five planning footsteps getting closer, the next five years is expected to wind power and solar energy for faster development.
Reporter learned that the 21st century economy, national authorities "Thirteen Five" multiple energy index is expected to recent research, whether the adjustment "Thirteen Five" wind, light and non-fossil energy index, become an important focus.
The 12th five-year plan put forward in 2015, non-fossil energy accounted for the proportion of primary energy consumption to around 11.4%, nuclear power installed 40 million kw, wind power, solar energy, respectively installed to reach 100 million kw, 21 million kw.
According to the latest figures, the index is now in advance or overfulfilled. By the end of June 2015, the national wind power grid capacity of 105.53 million kilowatts, the photovoltaic power generation capacity of 35.78 million kilowatts. The energy bureau predicts that in 2014 has reached 11.1%, the proportion of non-fossil energy sources close to completing 2015 indicators.
That Thirteen Five wind power, photovoltaic power generation index changes in focus, secretary general of the China renewable energy institute Meng Xiangan pointed out that because of the "twelfth five-year" photovoltaic (pv) and wind power far above the target, so Thirteen Five index should be some change.
"We have proposed to" Thirteen Five "index rise for the wind power, photovoltaic power generation." He said.
"Thirteen Five" wind, power indicator light or raised
Released on November 4, 2014, the national development and reform commission of the national plan on climate change (2014-2020) ", was on the 12th five-year plan index increases sharply.
The planning is put forward, the grid wind power installed capacity in 2020 reached 200 million kilowatts, than the "twelfth five-year" plan 100 million kw goal to promote 1 times. Solar power installed capacity in 2020 reached 2020 kilowatts, the solar energy heat utilization installation area of 800 million square meters, respectively, than the "twelfth five-year" plan proposed by installed 21 million kw, the solar energy heat utilization installation area reaches 400 million square meters of target number, increased about 4 times and 1 times respectively.
Since 2020 is "Thirteen Five" at the end of the planning is "Thirteen Five planning blueprint is given.
But the plan is still can't keep up with changes.
Only by the end of June 2015, the national wind power cumulative interconnection capacity and photovoltaic power generation capacity is beyond the goal of "twelfth five-year" plan. Other like water and electricity installed are in rapid growth, by the end of 2014, China's hydropower total installed capacity of 300 million kilowatts, the installed capacity of more than 2015 years in advance need to achieve the objectives of the 290 million kw.
Photovoltaic, wind power, water and electricity as a result, the corresponding indicators are facing adjustment.
Secretary general of the China renewable energy institute Meng Xiangan pointed out that since the 12th five-year photovoltaic, wind overfulfilled indicators, "Thirteen Five" these indicators should be raised, "hydropower different tone, but because the actual construction progress than expected."
China hydropower engineering consultants group co., LTD., senior engineer small wan wei tells a reporter, water and electricity may not be in "Thirteen Five" to raise the index, but to lower index.
Reason is that, despite the "twelfth five-year" hydropower installed capacity of 290 million kilowatts of index finished ahead of schedule, but as a result of the "twelfth five-year" start new project is not much, add water and electricity construction period is long, to 2020, it is difficult to complete the installed 350 million kilowatts of indicators, perhaps only 340 million mw.
"Hydropower is a clean energy, to develop and complete large capacity, may have to wait until next time, such as 2025 and 2030." She said.
The proportion of non-fossil energy sources are affected
Such as photovoltaic (pv), water, wind power generation ahead of schedule "twelfth five-year" data, "Thirteen Five" non-fossil energy should be adjusted accordingly, also became a problem.
In the 12th five-year plan in 2015 non-fossil energy which accounts for 11.4% of the primary energy goal has been completed ahead of schedule, if "Thirteen Five" photovoltaic, solar power index increase, also need to change the proportion of non-fossil energy sources.
The national development and reform commission energy research institute researcher jiang thinks, in pv and wind power index higher, "Thirteen Five" may break through the original of non-fossil energy accounted 15%, even up to 16%.
The natural resources defense council, a senior adviser Yang argues that 2020 non-fossil energy which accounts for 15% of the primary energy index is complete, there is a lot of uncertainty. His judgment, if "Thirteen Five" economy slowing, greatly reduce the proportion of coal and raise the proportion of renewable energy, is likely to increase the proportion of non-fossil energy sources.
But if "Thirteen Five" to keep the economy fast growth, investment will not necessarily small, at the time of rapid economic growth, non-fossil energy doesn't have to set higher index. "Especially at present, solar power, photovoltaic power generation growth is fast enough. But actually very serious excess capacity still" in these fields, Yang said.
Meng Xiangan also believes that, although the photovoltaic and solar power installed capacity index is likely to rise, but the index may as well not to raise the proportion of non-fossil energy sources.
The reason is that although wind power, photovoltaic power generation ShangDeKuai, but is still limited by the actual grid power output. "A lot of power to send not to come out, so we have to give up," so Thirteen Five "especially need to put the transportation problem solving first." He said.